2016 AA Girls State Meet Preview - Overall

        This is the first of three posts previewing Saturday's AA Girls state meet, with subsequent posts to focus on team and top individual competition.

        As was the case for the boys, projections are based only on each athlete's performance at their conference and section meets. These are the only results recorded for the majority of the participating athletes and should be the results expected to produce the most accurate projections. As was also the case the for boys, most of the top athletes have raced each other on multiple occasions already this season. Anna Fenske, Amanda Mosborg, Jaycie Thomson, and Emily Covert have all scored significant victories over elite fields (in Covert's case, she was the top AA finisher at Griak). Which is favored to land the biggest victory of all? CCRS believes it to be Fenske, after her dominating 17:12 victory at the Section 1 meet. Fenske has compiled the best head-to-head record in the state this season, with only a hiccup at Griak keeping her from an undefeated season vs. her AA rivals.
        Fenske's Farmington teammate Lauren Peterson has tended to trail just meters behind her at most races this season, and figures to be a major factor in the race for second should Fenske prove victorious. Then, as was again the case on the boys side, Section 6 is expected to dominate - 12 of the 25 all-state slots are projected to be won by the state's most difficult section.
        Intrigue is not lacking from the team race, although it may have to be found somewhere other than the top of the podium. The Edina girls have been nothing short of dominate this season, winning each meet they've entered in comfortable fashion and outstripping 2nd-ranked Willmar by some 2.5 points in the CCRS ratings. If Edina holds serve, expect Willmar, Minnetonka, and Marshall to battle for the remaining spots on the podium.
        Complete projected results are below. Projected finishing times are based on the course rating for the 2015 meet.

       

		Athlete	School	Min	Sec
	1	Anna Fenske	Farmington	17	41
	2	Lauren Peterson	Farmington	17	54
	3	Jaycie Thomsen	Wayzata	18	14
1	4	Amanda Mosborg	Edina	18	20
2	5	Morgan Richter	Edina	18	20
3	6	Sophie Whicher	Minnetonka	18	30
4	7	Sophie Schmitz	Willmar	18	38
5	8	Maria Rickman	Edina	18	39
	9	Emily Covert	Washburn	18	42
	10	Anastasia Korzenowski	Chanhassen	18	44
6	11	Emily Kompelien	Edina	18	44
	12	Elizabeth Klecker	Hopkins	18	46
7	13	Jessa Hanson	Willmar	18	47
8	14	Tate Sweeney	Edina	18	47
9	15	Tess Misgen	Shakopee	18	47
	16	Alyson Welch	Century	18	50
	17	Malakai Holloway	Eden Prairie	18	51
10	18	Brianne Brewster	Lakeville  South	18	51
11	19	Kylie Melz	Minnetonka	18	54
12	20	Regan Duffy	Forest Lake	18	55
13	21	Grace Johnson	Red Wing	18	56
14	22	Kayla Rudie	Willmar	18	56
15	23	Claire Boersma	Marshall	18	57
	24	Kenall Pfrimmer	Mayo	18	58
	25	Grace Dickel	Washburn	18	59
	26	Renae Anderson	Hopkins	19	0
	27	Mallory Stach	Prior Lake	19	1
	28	Madelyn Skjeveland	Faribault	19	4
16	29	Brynn Libraaten	Edina	19	4
	30	Anna Grote	Eden Prairie	19	5
	31	Molly Moynihan	Apple Valley	19	7
	32	Ingrid Buicaeg-Arama	Sartell	19	7
17	33	Jasmyn Armstrong	Red Wing	19	8
18	34	Heidi Schmitz	Willmar	19	8
19	35	Kaia Sueker	Marshall	19	9
	36	Miranda Gilbertson	Chanhassen	19	10
	37	Sadie Hamrin	Bemidji	19	11
20	38	Natalee Sample	Marshall	19	11
21	39	Lean Hansen	Willmar	19	13
	40	Liesl Paulsen	Eden Prairie	19	13
22	41	Annalise Davis	STMA	19	14
23	42	Meritt Miller	Brainerd	19	15
	43	Allison Hendrickson	Becker	19	15
24	44	Jayda Becker	Shakopee	19	15
	45	Bethany Miller	Alexandria	19	16
25	46	Elizabeth Halbmaier	Minnetonka	19	16
	47	Morgan Dahl	Mounds View	19	16
26	48	Naomi Boehm	Roseville	19	17
27	49	Serena Monson	Willmar	19	19
28	50	Marla Bailey	Minnetonka	19	20
29	51	Morgan Radel	Marshall	19	21
	52	Autumn Muilenberg	Albert Lea	19	21
30	53	Annalise Johnson	Minnetonka	19	21
31	54	Caroline Schoessow	Forest Lake	19	22
32	55	Amelea Hauer	Forest Lake	19	23
	56	Koutney Kulseth	Waseca	19	25
	57	Amanda Montplaisir	Buffalo	19	26
	58	Margaret Dalseth	Visitation	19	27
	59	Rhianna Rinke	North Branch	19	27
	60	Abby Lewis	Austin	19	28
	61	Mary Kate Schooonover	Visitation	19	29
	62	Ruby Gernandt	Faribault	19	29
	63	Kaleesa Houston	Waconia	19	29
	64	Meghan Pierson	Chanhassen	19	31
	65	Molly Moening	Highland Park	19	31
	66	Nicole Kelly	South SP	19	32
	67	Elizabeth Vanloon	Irondale	19	32
33	68	Grace Johnson	Centennial	19	34
	69	Aleah Miller	Alexandria	19	34
	70	Jerzie Finstad	Thief River Falls	19	35
	71	Abby Witte	East Ridge	19	35
34	72	Alison Mortier	Marshall	19	35
	73	Abbegail Dufault	Waseca	19	35
	74	Star Costa	South SP	19	37
35	75	Isabel Meger	Shakopee	19	37
36	76	Patty Jo English	Lakeville  South	19	37
37	77	Olivia Sequra	Henry Sibley	19	38
38	78	Savannah Anez	Willmar	19	38
	79	Hannah Schwartz	Eastview	19	38
	80	Molly Weberg	Duluth East	19	42
	81	Colette Jemming	Sartell	19	43
	82	Anja Maijala	Cloquet	19	44
	83	Lexi Dehmer	Becker	19	45
	84	Olivia Anderson	Chaska	19	47
39	85	Maddie Verkerke	White Bear Lake	19	47
	86	Emma Stertz	Grand Rapids	19	47
40	87	Brycelyn Brewster	Lakeville  South	19	49
41	88	Bellamy Sukalski	Marshall	19	49
42	89	Abigail Meger	Shakopee	19	50
43	90	Kenzie Misgen	Shakopee	19	50
44	91	Gracie Stoks	Centennial	19	51
45	92	Cassie Jenny	Lakeville  South	19	51
46	93	Molly Roach	Jefferson	19	51
	94	Alaina Hedlund	Coon Rapids	19	52
	95	Kyra Anderson	Stillwater	19	53
47	96	Sadie Schreiner	Edina	19	53
48	97	Rose Dill	Henry Sibley	19	53
	98	Isabelle Brezinka	Anoka	19	53
49	99	Lauren Geary	Lakeville  South	19	53
	100	Lauren Dynek	Duluth East	19	56
50	101	Mia Salas	STMA	19	56
51	102	Keely Nistler	White Bear Lake	19	57
	103	Sarah Olson	Blaine	19	57
52	104	Adelle DeSutter	Red Wing	19	58
53	105	Julia Nielson	Andover	19	58
54	106	Emily Rugloski	Brainerd	19	58
55	107	Ava Wilson	Forest Lake	19	59
56	108	Tori Leitner	Red Wing	19	59
	109	Maria Kalkman	Anoka	20	0
57	110	Elizabeth Whitcomb	Henry Sibley	20	0
58	111	Maya Rachel	Shakopee	20	1
59	112	Olivia Schwintek	White Bear Lake	20	3
60	113	Liliana Schaeffer	Brainerd	20	3
	114	Lauren Cawcutt	Cloquet	20	3
61	115	Jaylen Rosga	Henry Sibley	20	4
62	116	Elise Longley	Jefferson	20	4
	117	Tiffany Holiday	Woodbury	20	5
63	118	Carly Dahms	Roseville	20	6
	119	Althea Gutzmann	CDH	20	7
64	120	Samantha Kurkowski	Roseville	20	11
65	121	Natalie Andres	White Bear Lake	20	11
	122	Sophia Rabins	Central	20	12
	123	Melanie Pankow	Mahtomedi	20	13
66	124	Grace Shaskey	Lakeville  South	20	13
67	125	Maggie Blanding	White Bear Lake	20	14
68	126	Erin Hamilton	STMA	20	14
	127	Ava Leneau	Maple Grove	20	14
69	128	Grace Erholtz	Brainerd	20	14
70	129	Kate LeBlanc	Minnetonka	20	14
	130	Lily Engebresten	Mahtomedi	20	15
71	131	Grace Dube	Red Wing	20	16
72	132	Harmony Zweber-Langer	Lakeville  South	20	16
73	133	Caroline Johnson	Henry Sibley	20	16
	134	Jillian Yerges	North Branch	20	16
	135	Liz Axberg	Irondale	20	17
74	136	Karley Thurston	Jefferson	20	18
75	137	Alyssa Gerth	Andover	20	19
	138	Laura Dahlin	Hermantown	20	21
76	139	Tatum Leibke	Centennial	20	22
77	140	Grace Holscher	Minnetonka	20	22
78	141	Ali Styba	Shakopee	20	23
79	142	Ali Crochet	Brainerd	20	24
80	143	Paige McAloon	STMA	20	25
81	144	Molly Selisker	Brainerd	20	25
82	145	Josephine Moor	White Bear Lake	20	26
83	146	Elise Leise	Red Wing	20	26
84	147	Maurissa Dauner	Jefferson	20	27
	148	Libby Tuttle	Stillwater	20	27
85	149	Emily Brockberg	White Bear Lake	20	29
86	150	Anna Belair	STMA	20	29
87	151	Caroline Anderson	Jefferson	20	31
88	152	Petra Bibeau	Roseville	20	33
89	153	Elizabeth Donner	Andover	20	33
90	154	Bergen Haag	Roseville	20	33
91	155	Amanda Forliti	Forest Lake	20	35
92	156	Namoi Nickel	Roseville	20	36
93	157	Sydney Phillips	Centennial	20	36
94	158	Alexa Havon	Andover	20	42
95	159	Amara Jackson	Roseville	20	45
96	160	Jamie Herridge	Henry Sibley	20	51
97	161	Elizabeth Lofstad	Centennial	20	53
98	162	Lauren Johnson	Andover	20	54
99	163	Megan Narveson	Jefferson	20	57
100	164	Annabelle Stang	Forest Lake	20	59
101	165	Makeline Greelis	Andover	21	1
102	166	Jesseca Overland	Forest Lake	21	3
103	167	Ruth Claycomb	Jefferson	21	7
104	168	Sydney Blomme	Marshall	21	9
105	169	Mary Votel	Henry Sibley	21	10
106	170	Kaydan Geiger	STMA	21	10
107	171	Ariana Mollgaard	Red Wing	21	24
108	172	Megan Kucera	STMA	21	32
109	173	Natalie Danzl	Centennial	21	33
110	174	McKendra Long	Centennial	21	38
111	175	Skylar Sandin	Andover	22	36
112	176	Elizabeth Selisker	Brainerd	22	39