Elo ratings are a method of calculating the relative strength of teams or individuals that compete in two-team or two-person events. Although a cross country meet is not inherently a two-team event, a result between any two teams can be extracted. In this sense, thousands of head-to-head match ups take place each season.
Elo ratings work by creating the expectation of a result between any two given teams. A team with a higher rating is expected to defeat a team with a lower rating, and the difference between the two ratings speaks to the likelihood of this happening. When a team defeats another, its Elo rating will always increase. Conversely, when a team loses to another, its Elo rating will always decrease. The degree to which either occurs depends on the strength of the opponent - A victory over a highly ranked team, for example, is rewarded with a significant increase. Losing to a highly ranked team, on the other hand, incurs only a small penalty.
Elo ratings are not always the best snapshot of a team's quality today, but instead paint a long-term trend of a team's success. The ratings below began with each team weighted equally at the beginning of the 2015 season. 1500 is an average rating.
*Historical Elo Ratings
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Current Elo Ratings - 2016 Final
Team | Elo | |
1 | Wayzata | 2160 |
2 | Edina | 2134 |
3 | Maple Grove | 2107 |
4 | Mounds View | 2094 |
5 | Stillwater | 2093 |
6 | Minnetonka | 2023 |
7 | Hopkins | 2022 |
8 | Bemidji | 2009 |
9 | Washburn | 1984 |
10 | Centennial | 1982 |
11 | Eagan | 1962 |
12 | Sartell | 1954 |
13 | Cloquet | 1894 |
14 | Century | 1884 |
15 | Red Wing | 1881 |
16 | Prior Lake | 1856 |
17 | Rosemount | 1842 |
18 | Eden Prairie | 1840 |
19 | Chanhassen | 1839 |
20 | Eastview | 1813 |
21 | Willmar | 1803 |
22 | Highland | 1796 |
23 | Central | 1795 |
24 | Detroit Lakes | 1793 |
25 | STMA | 1770 |
26 | Henry Sibley | 1747 |
27 | Blaine | 1744 |
28 | White Bear Lake | 1741 |
29 | Lakeville South | 1732 |
30 | Woodbury | 1717 |
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